The need for more granular data to uncover inequalities is a core focus of statisticians across the public sector. However, our ability to look ahead with predictive data and our understanding of the recent stalled improvements in life expectancy are two areas which need much more consideration.
When I was asked about the most interesting finding from the national census, the thing that really struck me was how people whose primary occupation is looking after a sick relative are often located in old mining towns like Merthyr Tydfil. It wasn’t something I would have predicted but is unsurprising when the data prompts you to think about it.
This is just one example, but it illustrates that we need to be better at predicting the long-term trends so we can have adequate policy solutions. Once we have the data, we can figure out how to support people to live better later lives.
Another disturbing trend is the slowing in increases of life expectancy across the country. Initial increases in life expectancy were largely due to public health improvements reducing death rates. In more recent years, this trend has continued thanks to medical advances keeping people alive for longer and therefore extending life expectancy in later life. But despite a decline in smoking, more health interventions and better cancer treatments, since 2011 there has been little or no improvement in life expectancy.
It is difficult to determine why this has happened, and as a country we need to work to understand these causes to ensure everyone can live a long, healthy life.